Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000794 0.000906 0.001024 0.001158 0.001306 0.001463 0.001643
2025-02-02 0.000631 0.000788 0.000966 0.001181 0.001432 0.001712 0.002050
2025-02-09 0.000524 0.000698 0.000903 0.001161 0.001473 0.001835 0.002284
2025-02-16 0.000441 0.000622 0.000846 0.001138 0.001503 0.001939 0.002494
2025-02-23 0.000391 0.000581 0.000824 0.001151 0.001571 0.002085 0.002752
2025-03-02 0.000349 0.000544 0.000802 0.001158 0.001629 0.002216 0.002993
2025-03-09 0.000299 0.000491 0.000753 0.001127 0.001631 0.002275 0.003142
2025-03-16 0.000257 0.000444 0.000708 0.001095 0.001629 0.002324 0.003278
2025-03-23 0.000231 0.000416 0.000686 0.001092 0.001665 0.002423 0.003476
2025-03-30 0.000207 0.000391 0.000667 0.001091 0.001701 0.002520 0.003675
2025-04-06 0.000185 0.000364 0.000643 0.001080 0.001721 0.002596 0.003845
2025-04-13 0.000162 0.000336 0.000613 0.001060 0.001726 0.002649 0.003984
2025-04-20 0.000152 0.000326 0.000613 0.001082 0.001795 0.002794 0.004254
2025-04-27 0.000141 0.000315 0.000609 0.001100 0.001858 0.002932 0.004518
2025-05-04 0.000124 0.000292 0.000584 0.001082 0.001864 0.002990 0.004670
2025-05-11 0.000109 0.000269 0.000557 0.001060 0.001864 0.003036 0.004806
2025-05-18 0.000101 0.000260 0.000552 0.001073 0.001916 0.003159 0.005053
2025-05-25 0.000092 0.000249 0.000544 0.001080 0.001959 0.003271 0.005284
2025-06-01 0.000080 0.000228 0.000515 0.001050 0.001943 0.003292 0.005385
2025-06-08 0.000069 0.000208 0.000487 0.001019 0.001923 0.003307 0.005476
2025-06-15 0.000062 0.000197 0.000476 0.001017 0.001950 0.003391 0.005670
2025-06-22 0.000057 0.000187 0.000466 0.001016 0.001977 0.003478 0.005868
2025-06-29 0.000050 0.000176 0.000451 0.001006 0.001988 0.003538 0.006029